Main activities
4. Economic Analysis for Agricultural Sectors

Economic Analysis for Agricultural Sectors

ASEAN Food Security Information System (AFSIS) plays a role of collection of information and statistical data and of analyzing food supply-demand situation in each country. The AFSIS disseminates the results to the ASEAN member countries in order to have common and mutual understanding. For this purpose, it is essential to collect the information of food crop planting and yielding, and the import data of foods and food crops. On the other hand, it is also quite important to gather the information of the trend and pattern of food consumption, and the foods and food crop export data on the side of supply. The Project of Agricultural Statistics and Economic Analysis Development (ASEAD) is to support the AFSIS activities indirectly, and to support the Thai government for developing the agricultural information and statistics in terms of timeliness and efficient data publish, and initiating the agricultural economic analyses for the agricultural policy makings in various aspects.

In the field of surveys and research of supply side, the ASEAD is to support conducting the “Crop Cutting Yield Surveys” for several crops as one of major activities of ASEAD. On the other hand, the ASEAD is to support the Office of Agricultural Economics (OAE), Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives (MOAC), Thailand, for developing and conducting the agricultural economic analysis, which covers (1) Agricultural Input-Output Analysis, (2) Agricultural Macro-Economic Analysis, and (3) Agricultural Commodity Supply-Demand Analysis, and (4) Additional Economic and Statistical Analyses.

In the field of demand side statistical information, OAE has been conducted the “Food Consumption Survey” since 2001. This information will be useful for analyzing the food consumption patterns and trends for the future. As one of powerful tools for analyzing the demand for foods and food crops, the OAE has constructed the “1995 Input-Output Table for Agricultural Sectors” in 2002. Now, the OAE is constructing the second input-output table for 2000. Those tables will be more useful to analyze and forecast the future of food demands and the effects to or impacts on the farmers.

Outline of the agricultural economic analysis was pictured in the Figure 1, and the 5-year plan is shown in Table 1 (PDF 72KB) .

Concepts of the Agricultural Economic Analysis

1. Input-Output Analysis for Agricultural Sectors
2. Macro-Economic Modeling for Agricultural Sectors
3. Agricultural Supply-Demand Modeling
4. Link Model
5. Other Statistical Analysis
6. Work Shops or Seminars on Agricultural Economic Analysis
7. Member List of Working Group

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1. Input-Output Analysis for Agricultural Sectors

Fig.1: Forward Linkages and Backward Linkages of All Industry to Imports

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2. Macro-Economic Modeling for Agricultural Sectors

3. Agricultural Supply-Demand Modeling

1. Rice Supply-Demand Model
2. Maize Supply-Demand Model
3. Cassava Supply-Demand Model
4. Sugar Cane Supply-Demand Model

4. Link Model

4.1 Concepts of Link Model

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5. Other Statistical Analysis

1. Agricultural Production Index
2. Agricultural Price Index
3. Agricultural Price Disparity Index
4. Agricultural Production Cost Index
5. Other Statistical Analyses

6. Work Shops or Seminars on Agricultural Economic Analysis

The seminar on "Input-Output Analysis for the Agricultural Sector in Japan” was held on 23rd December, 2004.

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7. Member List of Working Group

7.1 Input Output Model

1. Ms. Pornpun Hensawang
2. Ms. Anyada Penporn
3. Ms. Pariyaporn Sengad
4. Ms. Chutamard Sungsuwan
5. Ms. Suprama Rojanaburanon

7.2 Macro Economic Model

1. Ms. Supaporn Bongsunan
2. Mr. Siriwat Songtanasak
3. Mr. Narongsak Karat

7.3 Commodity Model

1. Mrs. Pakapan Soralam
2. Ms. Preeyawan Pavamai
3. Ms. Wareeporn Pojeen
4. Mrs. Patcharat Limsirikul
5. Ms. Busaya Pinsuwan
6. Mr. Krit Aiemtanon

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